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Strategy · nba-conf70-edge5-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
1
Days active
1
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 0 / 0
Win rate
100.0%
ROI
64.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
Units
+0.65u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
Worst 30d
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
0
Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-05-28

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
39
Days active
20
Wins / Losses / Pushes
33 / 4 / 0
Win rate
89.2%
ROI
382.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
287.0%
Units
+149.02u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+148.95u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-11-09 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u

1 most-recent picks shown.