Strategy · nba-conf70-home-top10pct

In NBA, confidence ≥ 70%, home only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 3
Days active: 3
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 52.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: 26.3%
Units: +1.58u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +1.58u
Worst 30d: +0.65u
Longest win streak: 3
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-21 → 2026-05-28

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 139
Days active: 124
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 30 / 12 / 0
Win rate: 71.4%
ROI: 53.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: 26.5%
Units: +74.33u
Max drawdown: +6.97u
Best 30d: +80.92u
Worst 30d: -3.33u
Longest win streak: 8
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-10-25 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-21	nba	in ledger	KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks	-230	win	+0.43u

3 most-recent picks shown.