Skip to content

Strategy · nba-conf75-edge2-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 2%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
31
Days active
18
Wins / Losses / Pushes
25 / 3 / 0
Win rate
89.3%
ROI
432.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
313.4%
Units
+133.99u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
+133.30u
Worst 30d
0.00u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-11-09 → 2026-03-14

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.