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Strategy · nba-conf75-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1

In NBA, confidence ≥ 75%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
143
Days active
128
Wins / Losses / Pushes
12 / 4 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
-0.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-2.9%
Units
-0.48u
Max drawdown
+2.89u
Best 30d
+1.25u
Worst 30d
-2.75u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-10-25 → 2026-05-11

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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