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Strategy · nba-conf75-favorite-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 75%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
363
Days active
138
Wins / Losses / Pushes
29 / 9 / 0
Win rate
76.3%
ROI
-0.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-1.7%
Units
-0.64u
Max drawdown
+4.88u
Best 30d
+1.93u
Worst 30d
-3.20u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-10-25 → 2026-05-11

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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