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Strategy · nba-conf75-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, confidence ≥ 75%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
290
Days active
119
Wins / Losses / Pushes
44 / 7 / 0
Win rate
86.3%
ROI
46.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
30.2%
Units
+135.21u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+133.88u
Worst 30d
-2.24u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-10-25 → 2026-05-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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