Strategy · nba-edge0-byimplied_prob-all

In NBA, edge ≥ 0%, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 9
Days active: 7
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 3 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 75.0%
ROI: 6.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: -30.2%
Units: +0.58u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +0.58u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-21 → 2026-06-08

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 438
Days active: 139
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 129 / 38 / 0
Win rate: 77.3%
ROI: 69.9%
Wilson-LB ROI: 55.4%
Units: +306.08u
Max drawdown: +7.69u
Best 30d: +307.08u
Worst 30d: -4.42u
Longest win streak: 10
Longest loss streak: 6
Range: 2025-10-26 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-08	nba	in ledger	SpursSpurs @ Knicks	+110	pending	0.00u
2026-05-30	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-24	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-23	nba	in ledger	CavaliersKnicks @ Cavaliers	-130	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	nba	in ledger	KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks	-230	win	+0.43u

9 most-recent picks shown.