Strategy · nba-edge0-underdog-byimplied_prob-top1

In NBA, edge ≥ 0%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog"
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 1
Days active: 1
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 0 / 0 / 0
Win rate: —
ROI: 0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: —
Units: 0.00u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: —
Worst 30d: —
Longest win streak: 0
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-06-08 → 2026-06-08

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 39
Days active: 37
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 7 / 2 / 0
Win rate: 77.8%
ROI: 54.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: 3.1%
Units: +21.05u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +22.05u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2025-10-26 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-08	nba	in ledger	SpursSpurs @ Knicks	+110	pending	0.00u

1 most-recent picks shown.