Strategy · nba-edge2-home-byedge-all

In NBA, edge ≥ 2%, home only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nba"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 5
Days active: 4
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 2 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 66.7%
ROI: 3.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: -77.1%
Units: +0.15u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +0.15u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-24 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 178
Days active: 57
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 89 / 21 / 0
Win rate: 80.9%
ROI: 173.7%
Wilson-LB ROI: 142.3%
Units: +309.14u
Max drawdown: +2.00u
Best 30d: +308.70u
Worst 30d: -2.00u
Longest win streak: 12
Longest loss streak: 8
Range: 2025-10-26 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-30	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-28	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-24	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-135	pending	0.00u

5 most-recent picks shown.