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Strategy · nba-edge5-top10pct

In NBA, edge ≥ 5%, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
2
Days active
2
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 1 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-17.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-1062.8%
Units
-0.35u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
-0.35u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-05-30

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
45
Days active
40
Wins / Losses / Pushes
22 / 4 / 0
Win rate
84.6%
ROI
205.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
114.3%
Units
+92.29u
Max drawdown
+1.31u
Best 30d
+92.60u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
13
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-10-26 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-30nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u

2 most-recent picks shown.