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Strategy · nba-edge5-underdog-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In NBA, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample
Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 26
- Days active
- 23
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 8 / 2 / 0
- Win rate
- 80.0%
- ROI
- 91.7%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 14.8%
- Units
- +23.85u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- +24.85u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 3
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2025-10-26 → 2026-03-29
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nba"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.05
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
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