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Strategy · nba-edge5-underdog-byimplied_prob-top3

In NBA, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
59
Days active
24
Wins / Losses / Pushes
25 / 7 / 0
Win rate
78.1%
ROI
130.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
72.2%
Units
+77.15u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+78.15u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
8
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-10-26 → 2026-03-29

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

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