Strategy · nba-edge5-underdog-home-byedge-top10pct

In NBA, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 20
Days active: 16
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 17 / 3 / 0
Win rate: 85.0%
ROI: 428.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: 282.3%
Units: +85.60u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +86.60u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 8
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2025-11-09 → 2026-03-23

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

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