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Strategy · nba-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NBA, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NBA · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
10
Days active
10
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 1 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
5.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-26.6%
Units
+0.50u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+0.50u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-08

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
253
Days active
162
Wins / Losses / Pushes
28 / 11 / 0
Win rate
71.8%
ROI
-0.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
-3.4%
Units
-2.40u
Max drawdown
+4.16u
Best 30d
+1.88u
Worst 30d
-3.07u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-10-25 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nba"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite"
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-08nbain ledgerKnicksSpurs @ Knicks-130pending0.00u
2026-05-30nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-28nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-26nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198pending0.00u
2026-05-25nbain ledgerKnicksKnicks @ Cavaliers-142pending0.00u
2026-05-24nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-23nbain ledgerCavaliersKnicks @ Cavaliers-130pending0.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-125pending0.00u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-20nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u

10 most-recent picks shown.