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Strategy · ncaab-conf55-edge2-favorite-home-top10pct

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
99
Days active
96
Wins / Losses / Pushes
18 / 8 / 0
Win rate
69.2%
ROI
-1.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-8.0%
Units
-1.44u
Max drawdown
+2.94u
Best 30d
+1.76u
Worst 30d
-2.43u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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