Strategy · ncaab-conf55-home-byimplied_prob-all

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 55%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaab"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaab"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 5,989
Days active: 139
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1119 / 423 / 0
Win rate: 72.6%
ROI: 30.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 23.0%
Units: +1815.49u
Max drawdown: +54.99u
Best 30d: +1475.38u
Worst 30d: -40.51u
Longest win streak: 22
Longest loss streak: 8
Range: 2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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