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Strategy · ncaab-conf60-edge2-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
97
Days active
97
Wins / Losses / Pushes
29 / 12 / 0
Win rate
70.7%
ROI
-2.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-10.8%
Units
-2.71u
Max drawdown
+5.44u
Best 30d
+2.91u
Worst 30d
-4.54u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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