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Strategy · ncaab-conf60-edge5-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
26
Days active
24
Wins / Losses / Pushes
15 / 7 / 0
Win rate
68.2%
ROI
1521.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
624.1%
Units
+395.66u
Max drawdown
+2.40u
Best 30d
+248.90u
Worst 30d
-0.40u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-03-08

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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