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Strategy · ncaab-conf65-edge0-favorite-byimplied_prob-top5

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
531
Days active
127
Wins / Losses / Pushes
102 / 39 / 0
Win rate
72.3%
ROI
-1.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-3.4%
Units
-6.38u
Max drawdown
+8.45u
Best 30d
+3.14u
Worst 30d
-4.45u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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