Strategy · ncaab-conf65-edge2-away-byimplied_prob-top1

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 2%, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 3 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaab"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaab"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaab"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 57
Days active: 57
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 30 / 16 / 0
Win rate: 65.2%
ROI: -10.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: -26.0%
Units: -6.02u
Max drawdown: +5.70u
Best 30d: +1.42u
Worst 30d: -4.27u
Longest win streak: 8
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-11-06 → 2026-04-05

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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