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Strategy · ncaab-conf65-edge2-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 93
- Days active
- 92
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 29 / 13 / 0
- Win rate
- 69.0%
- ROI
- -4.0%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -12.6%
- Units
- -3.71u
- Max drawdown
- +5.67u
- Best 30d
- +2.91u
- Worst 30d
- -4.54u
- Longest win streak
- 3
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.65
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
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