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Strategy · ncaab-conf65-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
73
Days active
72
Wins / Losses / Pushes
17 / 8 / 0
Win rate
68.0%
ROI
-2.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-11.3%
Units
-1.71u
Max drawdown
+3.15u
Best 30d
+1.76u
Worst 30d
-2.43u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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