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Strategy · ncaab-conf65-edge5-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 5%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
31
Days active
29
Wins / Losses / Pushes
19 / 11 / 0
Win rate
63.3%
ROI
1269.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
494.6%
Units
+393.46u
Max drawdown
+4.00u
Best 30d
+245.60u
Worst 30d
-2.09u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
5
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-04-05

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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