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Strategy · ncaab-conf70-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
145
Days active
64
Wins / Losses / Pushes
45 / 17 / 0
Win rate
72.6%
ROI
-2.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-7.5%
Units
-3.23u
Max drawdown
+7.85u
Best 30d
+4.31u
Worst 30d
-3.89u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-04-07

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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