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Strategy · ncaab-conf70-edge5-home-byimplied_prob-top1

In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
14
Days active
14
Wins / Losses / Pushes
11 / 3 / 0
Win rate
78.6%
ROI
2801.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
1427.1%
Units
+392.20u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+253.20u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-01-09

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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