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Strategy · ncaab-conf75-edge2-favorite-away-byimplied_prob-top3
In NCAAB, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.
Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1
This rule is equivalent to 3 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 64
- Days active
- 46
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 37 / 14 / 0
- Win rate
- 72.5%
- ROI
- -4.9%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -17.9%
- Units
- -3.10u
- Max drawdown
- +7.79u
- Best 30d
- +4.14u
- Worst 30d
- -4.71u
- Longest win streak
- 6
- Longest loss streak
- 4
- Range
- 2025-11-25 → 2026-03-07
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
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