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Strategy · ncaab-edge2-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NCAAB, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
50
Days active
41
Wins / Losses / Pushes
13 / 7 / 0
Win rate
65.0%
ROI
783.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
281.3%
Units
+391.94u
Max drawdown
+5.00u
Best 30d
+248.34u
Worst 30d
-4.00u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-03-08

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02
  }
}

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