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Strategy · ncaab-edge5-underdog-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In NCAAB, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 43
- Days active
- 34
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 15 / 7 / 0
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- ROI
- 918.9%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 341.6%
- Units
- +395.14u
- Max drawdown
- +5.00u
- Best 30d
- +251.54u
- Worst 30d
- -2.00u
- Longest win streak
- 7
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-11-03 → 2026-03-08
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaab"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.05
}
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