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Strategy · ncaab-edge5-underdog-home-top1

In NCAAB, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, home only, sort by confidence descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NCAAB · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaab"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
34
Days active
34
Wins / Losses / Pushes
15 / 9 / 0
Win rate
62.5%
ROI
1366.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
661.2%
Units
+464.60u
Max drawdown
+9.00u
Best 30d
+320.50u
Worst 30d
-6.00u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-11-03 → 2026-03-08

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaab"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

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