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Strategy · ncaaf-conf55-edge2-favorite-top3

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by confidence descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
125
Days active
59
Wins / Losses / Pushes
36 / 7 / 0
Win rate
83.7%
ROI
5.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
0.6%
Units
+6.53u
Max drawdown
+2.61u
Best 30d
+4.34u
Worst 30d
-1.68u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-08-29 → 2026-01-10

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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