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Strategy · ncaaf-conf55-edge2-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
61
Days active
58
Wins / Losses / Pushes
12 / 3 / 0
Win rate
80.0%
ROI
89.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-74.9%
Units
+54.41u
Max drawdown
+1.75u
Best 30d
+50.52u
Worst 30d
-1.41u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-08-28 → 2026-01-10

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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