Strategy · ncaaf-conf60-edge5-underdog-byedge-top1

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by edge descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 9 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.1,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 10
Days active: 10
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 4 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 665.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: -467.8%
Units: +66.50u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +65.45u
Worst 30d: 0.00u
Longest win streak: 4
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2025-08-28 → 2025-11-29

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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