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Strategy · ncaaf-conf65-edge2-favorite-home-byedge-top1

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by edge descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1 · Low sample

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
43
Days active
43
Wins / Losses / Pushes
18 / 8 / 0
Win rate
69.2%
ROI
-2.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
-17.9%
Units
-0.92u
Max drawdown
+4.29u
Best 30d
+3.01u
Worst 30d
-3.90u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-08-29 → 2026-01-10

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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