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Strategy · ncaaf-conf65-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
121
Days active
43
Wins / Losses / Pushes
41 / 9 / 0
Win rate
82.0%
ROI
4.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-1.5%
Units
+5.79u
Max drawdown
+2.30u
Best 30d
+3.06u
Worst 30d
-1.12u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-08-29 → 2026-01-10

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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