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Strategy · ncaaf-conf65-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 65%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
170
Days active
68
Wins / Losses / Pushes
21 / 8 / 0
Win rate
72.4%
ROI
-0.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
-3.6%
Units
-0.70u
Max drawdown
+4.41u
Best 30d
+2.56u
Worst 30d
-3.97u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-08-23 → 2026-01-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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