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Strategy · ncaaf-conf70-edge0-favorite-byimplied_prob-top5

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 5,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
170
Days active
54
Wins / Losses / Pushes
39 / 8 / 0
Win rate
83.0%
ROI
3.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
-0.3%
Units
+5.27u
Max drawdown
+2.31u
Best 30d
+5.46u
Worst 30d
-2.31u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-08-23 → 2026-01-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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