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Strategy · ncaaf-conf70-edge5-favorite-top5

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, sort by confidence descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
68
Days active
26
Wins / Losses / Pushes
48 / 12 / 0
Win rate
80.0%
ROI
8.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-4.6%
Units
+5.45u
Max drawdown
+2.66u
Best 30d
+5.78u
Worst 30d
-1.32u
Longest win streak
10
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-08-31 → 2026-01-02

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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