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Strategy · ncaaf-conf70-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 70%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
126
Days active
69
Wins / Losses / Pushes
13 / 5 / 0
Win rate
72.2%
ROI
-0.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-4.1%
Units
-1.01u
Max drawdown
+2.99u
Best 30d
+1.23u
Worst 30d
-2.27u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-08-23 → 2026-01-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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