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Strategy · ncaaf-conf75-edge0-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

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Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
113
Days active
50
Wins / Losses / Pushes
20 / 5 / 0
Win rate
80.0%
ROI
1.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-3.4%
Units
+1.50u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+2.23u
Worst 30d
-1.67u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-08-23 → 2026-01-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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