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Strategy · ncaaf-conf75-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In NCAAF, confidence ≥ 75%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1
This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaaf"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 88
- Days active
- 58
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 7 / 3 / 0
- Win rate
- 70.0%
- ROI
- -0.9%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -5.3%
- Units
- -0.83u
- Max drawdown
- +1.63u
- Best 30d
- +0.64u
- Worst 30d
- -1.63u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2025-08-23 → 2026-01-20
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"ncaaf"
]
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
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