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Strategy · ncaaf-edge5-underdog-byedge-all

In NCAAF, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: NCAAF · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "ncaaf"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0.05
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
49
Days active
22
Wins / Losses / Pushes
10 / 0 / 0
Win rate
100.0%
ROI
478.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
78.0%
Units
+234.55u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
+229.45u
Worst 30d
0.00u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
0
Range
2025-08-23 → 2026-01-03

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "ncaaf"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.05
  }
}

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