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Strategy · nfl-conf55-edge2-byedge-top3

In NFL, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by edge descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
74
Days active
38
Wins / Losses / Pushes
28 / 10 / 0
Win rate
73.7%
ROI
3.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-7.2%
Units
+2.71u
Max drawdown
+5.30u
Best 30d
+4.90u
Worst 30d
-4.17u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-09-05 → 2026-01-25

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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