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Strategy · nfl-conf55-edge2-byimplied_prob-top5

In NFL, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
90
Days active
38
Wins / Losses / Pushes
36 / 10 / 0
Win rate
78.3%
ROI
6.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
-2.3%
Units
+6.23u
Max drawdown
+3.24u
Best 30d
+5.23u
Worst 30d
-1.58u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-09-05 → 2026-01-25

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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