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Strategy · nfl-conf55-edge2-home-all
In NFL, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, home only, sort by confidence descending, take every eligible pick per day.
Sports: NFL · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 26 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
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"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
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}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
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"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
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"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
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}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
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"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
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"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
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}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
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"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
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"filters": {
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"edge_min": 0.02
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},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
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"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
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"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 5,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 27
- Days active
- 18
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 7 / 4 / 0
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- ROI
- -2.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -21.1%
- Units
- -0.75u
- Max drawdown
- +2.00u
- Best 30d
- +1.90u
- Worst 30d
- -1.69u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-09-05 → 2026-01-25
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"mode": "all_eligible"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
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