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Strategy · nfl-conf55-favorite-byedge-top10pct

In NFL, confidence ≥ 55%, favorites only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
89
Days active
73
Wins / Losses / Pushes
24 / 13 / 0
Win rate
64.9%
ROI
-2.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-12.1%
Units
-2.26u
Max drawdown
+5.41u
Best 30d
+3.35u
Worst 30d
-5.41u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-09-05 → 2026-02-08

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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