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Strategy · nfl-conf65-byimplied_prob-top3

In NFL, confidence ≥ 65%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nfl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
105
Days active
47
Wins / Losses / Pushes
22 / 11 / 0
Win rate
66.7%
ROI
-2.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-9.9%
Units
-2.92u
Max drawdown
+6.14u
Best 30d
+2.77u
Worst 30d
-5.83u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-09-05 → 2026-01-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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