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Strategy · nfl-conf75-edge0-away-byedge-top10pct

In NFL, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 0%, away only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 3 other spellings
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nfl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nfl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nfl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
19
Days active
19
Wins / Losses / Pushes
12 / 2 / 0
Win rate
85.7%
ROI
15.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-6.4%
Units
+2.91u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+2.17u
Worst 30d
-1.17u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-09-07 → 2025-12-28

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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