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Strategy · nfl-conf75-edge0-home-byimplied_prob-top3
In NFL, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 0%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.
Sports: NFL · Registry version 1 · Low sample
This rule is equivalent to 3 other spellings
[
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "confidence",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
},
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
}
]Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 21
- Days active
- 14
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 12 / 0 / 0
- Win rate
- 100.0%
- ROI
- 18.3%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 10.8%
- Units
- +3.84u
- Max drawdown
- 0.00u
- Best 30d
- +1.67u
- Worst 30d
- 0.00u
- Longest win streak
- 3
- Longest loss streak
- 0
- Range
- 2025-09-05 → 2026-01-18
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": [
"nfl"
]
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
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