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Strategy · nfl-conf75-favorite-home-byedge-top5

In NFL, confidence ≥ 75%, favorites only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nfl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 5,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
62
Days active
23
Wins / Losses / Pushes
16 / 3 / 0
Win rate
84.2%
ROI
3.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
-3.8%
Units
+1.90u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+1.47u
Worst 30d
-1.09u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-09-05 → 2026-01-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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