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Strategy · nfl-edge0-favorite-home-top1

In NFL, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, home only, sort by confidence descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: NFL · Registry version 1 · Low sample

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": [
        "nfl"
      ]
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
31
Days active
31
Wins / Losses / Pushes
11 / 2 / 0
Win rate
84.6%
ROI
6.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-5.9%
Units
+2.01u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+2.03u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-09-05 → 2026-01-25

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": [
      "nfl"
    ]
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0
  }
}

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